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Super League · Zambia
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mutondo Stars host Red Arrows in the Super League (Zambia) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mutondo Stars 1–3 Red Arrows.
Going into the match, Mutondo Stars had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Red Arrows had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 12 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mutondo Stars's last 7 and 3 of Red Arrows's last 9; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mutondo Stars averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Red Arrows averaged 0.50 scored and 0.25 conceded across 4.
The 1X2 prices imply about 27% for Mutondo Stars, 32% for the draw and 41% for Red Arrows once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mutondo Stars (green) and Red Arrows (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutondo Stars | LWDWL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 43% | 29% |
| Red Arrows | WWWDW | 1.33 | 0.44 | 33% | 22% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Mutondo Stars 1–0 Red Arrows
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Red Arrows Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.