Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 69%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mushuc Runa SC host Orense SC in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 19 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Orense SC.

Going into the match, Mushuc Runa SC had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Orense SC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Mushuc Runa SC's last 10 and 5 of Orense SC's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mushuc Runa SC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Orense SC averaged 0.85 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Mushuc Runa SC and 1.04 from Orense SC. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mushuc Runa SC (green) and Orense SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack45% – 55%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head40% – 60%

Goals41% – 59%

Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Mushuc Runa SC	LDLDD	1.10	0.90	50%	40%
Orense SC	DLLWL	1.00	1.70	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

20 Jul 2026 · Mushuc Runa SC 2–1 Orense SC

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	77%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	54%	1.75
BTTS Yes	50%	1.83
Mushuc Runa SC Win	48%	1.85
Over 2.5 Goals	46%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.