Mura vs Nafta prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mura host Nafta in the 1. SNL (Slovenia) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Mura 0–0 Nafta.

Going into the match, Mura had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Nafta had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Mura's last 10 and 6 of Nafta's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mura averaged 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Nafta averaged 1.20 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Mura and 1.45 from Nafta. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 41%, against 44%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mura (green) and Nafta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%

Attack38% – 62%

Defence37% – 63%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals31% – 69%

Overall strength27% – 72%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Mura	DDLDL	1.10	2.20	60%	50%
Nafta	WLWWL	1.80	1.40	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

1 Aug 2026 · Nafta 5–2 Mura

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	58%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.