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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Municipal vs Marquense prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Municipal host Marquense in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Municipal Win — Municipal to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Municipal 1–1 Marquense.
Going into the match, Municipal had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Marquense had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Municipal's last 10 and 4 of Marquense's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Municipal averaged 2.15 goals scored and 0.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Marquense averaged 0.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Municipal and 0.39 from Marquense. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 7%, against 69%, 20% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Municipal (green) and Marquense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Aug 2026 · Marquense 1–2 Municipal
- 19 Apr 2026 · Marquense 1–3 Municipal
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Municipal Win | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Municipal HT & FT | 48% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| 2-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.