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Primera Division · El Salvador
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Municipal Limeño host Firpo in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 11 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Municipal Limeño 2–3 Firpo.
Going into the match, Municipal Limeño had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Firpo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Municipal Limeño's last 10 and 4 of Firpo's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Municipal Limeño averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Firpo averaged 1.36 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Municipal Limeño and 1.52 from Firpo. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 47%, against 31%, 28% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Municipal Limeño (green) and Firpo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | LLLLW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Firpo | DWWDW | 1.50 | 1.40 | 40% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Firpo 2–0 Municipal Limeño
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Firpo Win | 41% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.