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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Municipal Grecia vs Santa Cruz FC prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Municipal Grecia host Santa Cruz FC in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 4 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Municipal Grecia Win — Municipal Grecia to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Municipal Grecia 1–0 Santa Cruz FC.
Going into the match, Municipal Grecia had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Santa Cruz FC had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Municipal Grecia's last 8 and 7 of Santa Cruz FC's last 10; 2 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Municipal Grecia averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Santa Cruz FC averaged 0.75 scored and 3.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Municipal Grecia and 0.92 from Santa Cruz FC. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 16%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Municipal Grecia (green) and Santa Cruz FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Grecia | LDDWL | 1.13 | 0.88 | 50% | 25% |
| Santa Cruz FC | LLWLL | 1.30 | 2.30 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Santa Cruz FC 1–2 Municipal Grecia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Municipal Grecia Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Municipal Grecia HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.