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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Municipal Grecia vs Aserri FC prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Municipal Grecia host Aserri FC in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Municipal Grecia 2–2 Aserri FC.
Going into the match, Municipal Grecia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Aserri FC had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Municipal Grecia's last 9 and 6 of Aserri FC's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Municipal Grecia averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Aserri FC averaged 1.11 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Municipal Grecia and 1.00 from Aserri FC. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 31%, against 50%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Municipal Grecia (green) and Aserri FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Grecia | WLDDW | 1.11 | 0.78 | 44% | 22% |
| Aserri FC | WLLWD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Aug 2026 · Aserri FC 3–2 Municipal Grecia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Municipal Grecia Win | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.