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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Muangthong United vs Phrae United prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Muangthong United host Phrae United in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 13 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Muangthong United Win — Muangthong United to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Muangthong United 0–1 Phrae United.
Going into the match, Muangthong United had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Phrae United had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7, with 7 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Muangthong United's last 9 and 3 of Phrae United's last 7; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Muangthong United averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Phrae United averaged 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Muangthong United and 0.76 from Phrae United. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 34%, against 63%, 23% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 25%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Muangthong United (green) and Phrae United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong United | LWLWD | 0.67 | 1.11 | 33% | 44% |
| Phrae United | WWLDL | 1.00 | 1.57 | 43% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| Muangthong United Win | 57% | 1.42 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.80 |
| Muangthong United HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.