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Thai League 2 · Thailand
Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Muang Loei United host Esan Pattaya in the Thai League 2 (Thailand) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Muang Loei United 2–2 Esan Pattaya.
Going into the match, Muang Loei United had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Esan Pattaya had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 6 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Muang Loei United's last 4 and 2 of Esan Pattaya's last 6; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Muang Loei United averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Esan Pattaya averaged 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Muang Loei United and 0.87 from Esan Pattaya. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 16%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Muang Loei United (green) and Esan Pattaya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muang Loei United | DWWL | 1.50 | 0.50 | 25% | 25% |
| Esan Pattaya | LDLWW | 1.00 | 1.67 | 33% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Muang Loei United Win | 38% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.