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NB I · Hungary
MTK Budapest vs Vasas prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
MTK Budapest host Vasas in the NB I (Hungary) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: MTK Budapest 1–0 Vasas.
Going into the match, MTK Budapest had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Vasas had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of MTK Budapest's last 10 and 7 of Vasas's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home MTK Budapest averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Vasas averaged 2.00 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from MTK Budapest and 1.96 from Vasas. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 45%, against 41%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between MTK Budapest (green) and Vasas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | LLWLD | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 80% |
| Vasas | DWWWL | 2.10 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Jul 2026 · MTK Budapest 3–1 Vasas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.