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Championship · Northern Ireland
Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Moyola Park host Glenavon FC in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 3 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Glenavon FC Win — Glenavon FC to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Moyola Park 0–3 Glenavon FC.
Going into the match, Moyola Park had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Glenavon FC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Moyola Park's last 10 and 9 of Glenavon FC's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moyola Park averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Glenavon FC averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Moyola Park and 2.43 from Glenavon FC. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 62%, against 16%, 21% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Moyola Park (green) and Glenavon FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyola Park | WDLLW | 1.00 | 2.00 | 40% | 50% |
| Glenavon FC | WWDLW | 2.30 | 1.40 | 90% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Glenavon FC Win | 63% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Glenavon FC HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.