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Super League · Malawi
Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Moyale Barracks host Karonga United in the Super League (Malawi) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Moyale Barracks had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Karonga United had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Moyale Barracks's last 10 and 6 of Karonga United's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moyale Barracks averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Karonga United averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Moyale Barracks and 0.82 from Karonga United. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Moyale Barracks (green) and Karonga United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | DLLWD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
| Karonga United | DWDDL | 0.80 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Karonga United 0–0 Moyale Barracks
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