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Premier League · Jamaica
Mount Pleasant Academy vs Montego Bay United prediction and preview
27 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mount Pleasant Academy host Montego Bay United in the Premier League (Jamaica) on 27 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mount Pleasant Academy 2–1 Montego Bay United.
Going into the match, Mount Pleasant Academy had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Montego Bay United had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mount Pleasant Academy's last 10 and 4 of Montego Bay United's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mount Pleasant Academy averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Montego Bay United averaged 1.50 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Mount Pleasant Academy and 1.02 from Montego Bay United. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%, against 34%, 29% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mount Pleasant Academy (green) and Montego Bay United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant Academy | WDDWL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
| Montego Bay United | DWWWD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · Montego Bay United 2–3 Mount Pleasant Academy
- 6 May 2026 · Mount Pleasant Academy 2–1 Montego Bay United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.25 |
| Montego Bay United Win | 36% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Mount Pleasant Academy form and statistics
- Montego Bay United form and statistics
- Premier League statistics
Other Premier League matches that day
- Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United · 26 Oct 2026, 22:05 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 · FT 4–1