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Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Spain
Motril vs Atlético Porcuna prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Motril host Atlético Porcuna in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Motril 1–1 Atlético Porcuna.
Going into the match, Motril had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Atlético Porcuna had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Motril's last 10 and 6 of Atlético Porcuna's last 10; 2 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Motril averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Atlético Porcuna averaged 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Motril and 0.80 from Atlético Porcuna. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Motril (green) and Atlético Porcuna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motril | WWWDL | 1.00 | 0.90 | 50% | 20% |
| Atlético Porcuna | LLWLW | 1.20 | 2.30 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Motril 2–1 Atlético Porcuna