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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
Móstoles vs Leganés II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Móstoles host Leganés II in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Móstoles to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Móstoles 1–1 Leganés II.
Going into the match, Móstoles had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Leganés II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Móstoles's last 9 and 6 of Leganés II's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Móstoles averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Leganés II averaged 1.57 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Móstoles and 1.02 from Leganés II. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Móstoles (green) and Leganés II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Móstoles | WWWDD | 1.11 | 1.22 | 44% | 22% |
| Leganés II | LWLWL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Móstoles 1–1 Leganés II