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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
Móstoles vs Galapagar prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Móstoles host Galapagar in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Móstoles to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Móstoles 3–0 Galapagar.
Going into the match, Móstoles had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Galapagar had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Móstoles's last 10 and 8 of Galapagar's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Móstoles averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Galapagar averaged 2.83 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Móstoles and 1.17 from Galapagar. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 25%. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Móstoles (green) and Galapagar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
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Published pick: Double Chance 1X