Home › League stats › 1. Division › Moss vs Kongsvinger
1. Division · Norway
Moss vs Kongsvinger prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Moss host Kongsvinger in the 1. Division (Norway) on 5 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Kongsvinger Win — Kongsvinger to win. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Moss 0–2 Kongsvinger.
Going into the match, Moss had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 19. Kongsvinger had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 43 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Moss's last 10 and 9 of Kongsvinger's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moss averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kongsvinger averaged 3.08 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Moss and 2.81 from Kongsvinger. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 64%, against 26%, 21% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Moss (green) and Kongsvinger (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moss | DWLWL | 1.80 | 1.90 | 90% | 90% |
| Kongsvinger | WWDWD | 4.30 | 1.70 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Kongsvinger 2–1 Moss
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 63% | 1.50 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 59% | 2.10 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Kongsvinger Win | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Kongsvinger HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.