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First League · Montenegro
Mornar vs Jezero prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mornar host Jezero in the First League (Montenegro) on 8 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mornar Win — Mornar to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mornar 3–3 Jezero.
Going into the match, Mornar had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Jezero had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mornar's last 10 and 5 of Jezero's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mornar averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Jezero averaged 0.91 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Mornar and 0.86 from Jezero. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 60%, 25% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mornar (green) and Jezero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Jezero 0–0 Mornar
- 24 May 2026 · Jezero 0–2 Mornar
- 6 May 2026 · Jezero 1–2 Mornar
- 22 Apr 2026 · Mornar 1–0 Jezero
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Mornar Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.