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FA Cup · England
Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Morecambe host Darlington 1883 in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Morecambe 3–0 Darlington 1883.
Going into the match, Morecambe had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 8. Darlington 1883 had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Morecambe's last 10 and 7 of Darlington 1883's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Morecambe averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Darlington 1883 averaged 2.10 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Morecambe and 0.96 from Darlington 1883. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 14%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Morecambe (green) and Darlington 1883 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | DWWLW | 1.50 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Darlington 1883 | DWLLL | 1.50 | 2.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Morecambe Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Morecambe HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.