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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Spain

Moralo vs Gévora prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Moralo host Gévora in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Moralo to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Moralo 1–1 Gévora.

Going into the match, Moralo had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Gévora had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Moralo's last 10 and 6 of Gévora's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moralo averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Gévora averaged 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.29 goals from Moralo and 0.74 from Gévora. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 10%. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Moralo (green) and Gévora (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form59% – 41%
Attack53% – 47%
Defence67% – 33%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength55% – 44%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MoraloDWWWD1.200.7040%20%
GévoraWDWLL1.301.7060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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