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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Spain

Moralo vs Castuera prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Moralo host Castuera in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Moralo to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Moralo 2–1 Castuera.

Going into the match, Moralo had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Castuera had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 13 scored and 3 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Moralo's last 10 and 1 of Castuera's last 5; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moralo averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Castuera averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Moralo and 1.04 from Castuera. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 26%. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Moralo (green) and Castuera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form48% – 52%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence38% – 63%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals57% – 43%
Overall strength56% – 43%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
MoraloWDDWW1.300.8050%30%
CastueraWWWLW2.600.6020%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 matches that day