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Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier vs Grenoble prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Montpellier host Grenoble in the Ligue 2 (France) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Montpellier Win — Montpellier to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Montpellier 2–0 Grenoble.
Going into the match, Montpellier had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Grenoble had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Montpellier's last 10 and 5 of Grenoble's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Montpellier averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Grenoble averaged 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Montpellier and 0.66 from Grenoble. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 13%, against 58%, 26% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Montpellier (green) and Grenoble (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | DWLDW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Grenoble | DDWLW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · Montpellier 2–1 Grenoble
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Montpellier Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.