Monterrey W vs Pumas UNAM W prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Cancha El Barrial, Santiago

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 62%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Monterrey W host Pumas UNAM W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 31 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Monterrey W had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 37 and conceding 13. Pumas UNAM W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Monterrey W's last 10 and 5 of Pumas UNAM W's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monterrey W averaged 3.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Pumas UNAM W averaged 1.29 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.96 goals from Monterrey W and 0.99 from Pumas UNAM W. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 9%, against 57%, 21% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Monterrey W (green) and Pumas UNAM W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form62% – 38%

Attack79% – 21%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals57% – 43%

Overall strength64% – 35%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Monterrey W	DWWWW	3.70	1.30	70%	90%
Pumas UNAM W	DWLDW	1.60	1.20	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	75%	1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
Over 2.5 Goals	62%	1.50
Monterrey W Win	61%	1.57
BTTS Yes	58%	1.62
Under 3.5 Goals	58%	1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.