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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Monterrey W vs América W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Monterrey W host América W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 3 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Monterrey W 4–3 América W.
Going into the match, Monterrey W had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 35 and conceding 13. América W had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 47 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Monterrey W's last 10 and 6 of América W's last 10; 10 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monterrey W averaged 3.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home América W averaged 3.57 scored and 0.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.42 goals from Monterrey W and 2.34 from América W. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 39%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Monterrey W (green) and América W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey W | WWWWW | 3.50 | 1.30 | 70% | 100% |
| América W | WDWWW | 4.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · América W 3–0 Monterrey W
- 15 May 2026 · Monterrey W 1–0 América W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.