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Friendlies Clubs · International
Monterrey vs Toluca prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Monterrey host Toluca in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Monterrey to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Monterrey 2–1 Toluca.
Going into the match, Monterrey had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Toluca had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Monterrey's last 10 and 4 of Toluca's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monterrey averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Toluca averaged 1.58 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Monterrey and 1.75 from Toluca. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 35%. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Monterrey (green) and Toluca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Sep 2026 · Toluca 2–0 Monterrey