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Montenegro vs Armenia prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Montenegro host Armenia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Montenegro 0–0 Armenia.
Going into the match, Montenegro had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Armenia had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 6 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Montenegro's last 5 and 3 of Armenia's last 5; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Montenegro averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Armenia averaged 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 61% for Montenegro, 22% for the draw and 17% for Armenia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Montenegro (green) and Armenia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro | WWWDW | 2.00 | 1.20 | 80% | 80% |
| Armenia | LLWDD | 1.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Sep 2026 · Armenia 2–3 Montenegro
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Montenegro Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.