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Premier League · Jamaica
Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Montego Bay United host Dunbeholden in the Premier League (Jamaica) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Montego Bay United Win — Montego Bay United to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Montego Bay United 1–0 Dunbeholden.
Going into the match, Montego Bay United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Dunbeholden had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 9, with 5 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Montego Bay United's last 10 and 1 of Dunbeholden's last 9; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Montego Bay United averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Dunbeholden averaged 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Montego Bay United and 0.40 from Dunbeholden. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 7%, against 67%, 20% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Montego Bay United (green) and Dunbeholden (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montego Bay United | WDWLL | 1.50 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Dunbeholden | LLLLL | 0.56 | 2.11 | 11% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| Montego Bay United Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Montego Bay United HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| 2-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.