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Second League · Bulgaria
Montana vs Ludogorets II prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Montana host Ludogorets II in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 13 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Montana Win — Montana to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Montana 2–3 Ludogorets II.
Going into the match, Montana had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 20. Ludogorets II had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Montana's last 10 and 5 of Ludogorets II's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Montana averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ludogorets II averaged 0.90 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Montana and 1.55 from Ludogorets II. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 48%, against 56%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 25%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Montana (green) and Ludogorets II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | DLLLL | 0.80 | 2.00 | 30% | 60% |
| Ludogorets II | DLDWL | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| Montana Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.