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Segunda División · Venezuela
Monagas II vs Petare FC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Monagas II host Petare FC in the Segunda División (Venezuela) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Monagas II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Monagas II 1–0 Petare FC.
Going into the match, Monagas II had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Petare FC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Monagas II's last 10 and 8 of Petare FC's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monagas II averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Petare FC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Monagas II and 1.22 from Petare FC. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 22%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Monagas II (green) and Petare FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monagas II | WLWWD | 1.80 | 1.30 | 80% | 80% |
| Petare FC | WDLWL | 1.90 | 1.50 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Aug 2026 · Petare FC 1–1 Monagas II
- 31 May 2026 · Monagas II 2–0 Petare FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Monagas II Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Atletico Avila FC vs Bolívar · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–3 - Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz vs Aragua FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Puerto Cabello II vs Atletico el Vigia FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Urena SC vs Yaracuyanos FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–5