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FKF Premier League · Kenya
Mombasa Elite vs Kariobangi Sharks prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mombasa Elite host Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 1 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mombasa Elite 2–1 Kariobangi Sharks.
Going into the match, Mombasa Elite had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Kariobangi Sharks had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 12 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Mombasa Elite's last 10 and 2 of Kariobangi Sharks's last 8; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mombasa Elite averaged 0.80 goals scored and 0.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Kariobangi Sharks averaged 0.33 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 38% for Mombasa Elite, 32% for the draw and 30% for Kariobangi Sharks once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mombasa Elite (green) and Kariobangi Sharks (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mombasa Elite | DWLDW | 0.70 | 0.60 | 20% | 20% |
| Kariobangi Sharks | WDDWD | 1.50 | 0.63 | 25% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Mombasa Elite Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.