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FKF Premier League · Kenya
Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mombasa Elite host Homeboyz in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 14 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mombasa Elite 0–1 Homeboyz.
Going into the match, Mombasa Elite had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Homeboyz had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 9, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mombasa Elite's last 10 and 5 of Homeboyz's last 9; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mombasa Elite averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Homeboyz averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
The 1X2 prices imply about 30% for Mombasa Elite, 31% for the draw and 39% for Homeboyz once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mombasa Elite | WDWLD | 0.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
| Homeboyz | DDLLL | 0.78 | 1.33 | 56% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Homeboyz Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.