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1. Division · Belarus
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Niva prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 host Niva in the 1. Division (Belarus) on 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 2–4 Niva.
Going into the match, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Niva had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's last 10 and 6 of Niva's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Niva averaged 2.21 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and 2.86 from Niva. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 66%, against 31%, 23% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 (green) and Niva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | LLWDW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 50% | 80% |
| Niva | WDWLW | 3.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Niva 6–0 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.29 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 68% | 1.35 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 53% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.82 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.84 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Division matches that day
- Uni Minsk vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Orsha vs Osipovichy · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–3 - Ostrovets FC vs Shakhter Soligorsk · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–1 - Smorgon vs Bumprom · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 1. Division
Published pick: Double Chance 1X