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Segunda División · Peru
Molinos El Pirata vs Minas prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Molinos El Pirata host Minas in the Segunda División (Peru) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Minas to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Molinos El Pirata 1–0 Minas.
Going into the match, Molinos El Pirata had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Minas had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Molinos El Pirata's last 10 and 7 of Minas's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Molinos El Pirata averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Minas averaged 1.78 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Molinos El Pirata and 1.26 from Minas. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 30%, against 36%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Molinos El Pirata (green) and Minas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molinos El Pirata | WLDLD | 1.30 | 1.80 | 70% | 50% |
| Minas | WLWDW | 2.60 | 1.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.