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Segunda División · Peru
Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Molinos El Pirata host Ayacucho FC in the Segunda División (Peru) on 6 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Ayacucho FC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Molinos El Pirata 2–0 Ayacucho FC.
Going into the match, Molinos El Pirata had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Ayacucho FC had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Molinos El Pirata's last 10 and 5 of Ayacucho FC's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Molinos El Pirata averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Ayacucho FC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from Molinos El Pirata and 0.90 from Ayacucho FC. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 12%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 32%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Molinos El Pirata (green) and Ayacucho FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molinos El Pirata | LDLDL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 80% | 60% |
| Ayacucho FC | WLLWL | 1.60 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Molinos El Pirata HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.