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Moldova vs Slovakia prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Moldova host Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Moldova 0–4 Slovakia.
Going into the match, Moldova had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Slovakia had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, with 9 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Moldova's last 5 and 4 of Slovakia's last 5; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moldova averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Slovakia averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 13% for Moldova, 21% for the draw and 66% for Slovakia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Moldova (green) and Slovakia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Sep 2026 · Slovakia 2–0 Moldova
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Slovakia Win | 66% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.