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FAW Championship · Wales
Mold Alexandra vs Newtown AFC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mold Alexandra host Newtown AFC in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mold Alexandra 1–2 Newtown AFC.
Going into the match, Mold Alexandra had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Newtown AFC had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Mold Alexandra's last 10 and 3 of Newtown AFC's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mold Alexandra averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Newtown AFC averaged 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Mold Alexandra and 1.45 from Newtown AFC. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 52%, against 32%, 24% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mold Alexandra (green) and Newtown AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | WDWWW | 2.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
| Newtown AFC | LWWWW | 2.00 | 0.60 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Newtown AFC Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Newtown AFC HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.