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K3 League · South Korea
Mokpo City vs Busan Transportation prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mokpo City host Busan Transportation in the K3 League (South Korea) on 4 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mokpo City 3–1 Busan Transportation.
Going into the match, Mokpo City had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Busan Transportation had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Mokpo City's last 10 and 8 of Busan Transportation's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mokpo City averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Busan Transportation averaged 1.67 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Mokpo City and 1.74 from Busan Transportation. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 46%, against 29%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mokpo City (green) and Busan Transportation (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mokpo City | WLWLL | 1.20 | 2.00 | 70% | 60% |
| Busan Transportation | LDLWD | 1.90 | 1.70 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Busan Transportation 3–0 Mokpo City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Busan Transportation Win | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.