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Birinci Dasta · Azerbaijan
MOIK vs Mingəçevir prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
MOIK host Mingəçevir in the Birinci Dasta (Azerbaijan) on 9 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: MOIK 3–0 Mingəçevir.
Going into the match, MOIK had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Mingəçevir had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of MOIK's last 10 and 7 of Mingəçevir's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home MOIK averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Mingəçevir averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.86 goals from MOIK and 0.80 from Mingəçevir. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 7%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between MOIK (green) and Mingəçevir (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOIK | WDLWL | 1.20 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Mingəçevir | LLDLW | 2.00 | 1.70 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 May 2026 · Mingəçevir 3–1 MOIK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| MOIK Win | 38% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.