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Liga Mayor · Dominican Republic
Moca vs Jarabacoa prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Moca host Jarabacoa in the Liga Mayor (Dominican Republic) on 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Moca Win — Moca to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Moca 1–0 Jarabacoa.
Going into the match, Moca had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Jarabacoa had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Moca's last 10 and 3 of Jarabacoa's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moca averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Jarabacoa averaged 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Moca and 0.58 from Jarabacoa. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 12%, against 68%, 20% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Moca (green) and Jarabacoa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Jarabacoa 0–1 Moca
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Moca Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Moca HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| 2-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.