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Super Liga · Serbia
Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mladost Lucani host OFK Beograd in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mladost Lucani 0–0 OFK Beograd.
Going into the match, Mladost Lucani had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. OFK Beograd had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mladost Lucani's last 10 and 7 of OFK Beograd's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mladost Lucani averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home OFK Beograd averaged 1.45 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Mladost Lucani and 0.85 from OFK Beograd. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 17%, against 34%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mladost Lucani (green) and OFK Beograd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Lucani | WLWLW | 1.00 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| OFK Beograd | LLDLW | 1.40 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.