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Mladost DG vs Mornar prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mladost DG host Mornar in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Mornar to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mladost DG 1–5 Mornar.
Going into the match, Mladost DG had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Mornar had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mladost DG's last 10 and 5 of Mornar's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mladost DG averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Mornar averaged 1.23 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Mladost DG and 2.33 from Mornar. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 62%, against 35%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mladost DG (green) and Mornar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG | WLLWW | 0.90 | 1.50 | 30% | 40% |
| Mornar | DLLWD | 1.00 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Aug 2026 · Mladost DG 2–3 Mornar
- 26 Apr 2026 · Mladost DG 1–2 Mornar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Mornar Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.