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First League · Montenegro
Mladost DG vs Jezero prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mladost DG host Jezero in the First League (Montenegro) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Mladost DG to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mladost DG 0–0 Jezero.
Going into the match, Mladost DG had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Jezero had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mladost DG's last 10 and 6 of Jezero's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mladost DG averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Jezero averaged 1.38 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Mladost DG and 1.57 from Jezero. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mladost DG (green) and Jezero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG | WDLWL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 30% | 50% |
| Jezero | WDLDL | 1.70 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Jezero 1–0 Mladost DG
- 16 May 2026 · Jezero 2–2 Mladost DG
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Mladost DG Win | 47% | 1.85 |
| Mladost DG HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25