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Czech Liga · Czech Republic

Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mlada Boleslav host Teplice in the Czech Liga (Czech Republic) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Mlada Boleslav 1–0 Teplice.

Going into the match, Mlada Boleslav had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Teplice had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Mlada Boleslav's last 10 and 4 of Teplice's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mlada Boleslav averaged 2.15 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Teplice averaged 2.55 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Mlada Boleslav and 1.24 from Teplice. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 35%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mlada Boleslav (green) and Teplice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%
Attack43% – 57%
Defence36% – 64%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals55% – 45%
Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Mlada BoleslavLLWWW1.901.0030%70%
TepliceDWWWL1.801.1040%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.20
Double Chance 1274%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals66%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes58%1.57
Over 9.5 Corners56%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Czech Liga matches that day