ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

ML Vitebsk WinOdds 1.39Market probability 66%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

ML Vitebsk host Torpedo Zhodino in the Premier League (Belarus) on 15 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is ML Vitebsk Win — ML Vitebsk to win. It was published at odds of 1.39, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino.

Going into the match, ML Vitebsk had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Torpedo Zhodino had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of ML Vitebsk's last 10 and 4 of Torpedo Zhodino's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ML Vitebsk averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Torpedo Zhodino averaged 1.64 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from ML Vitebsk and 0.72 from Torpedo Zhodino. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 11%, against 66%, 21% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between ML Vitebsk (green) and Torpedo Zhodino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence73% – 27%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
ML Vitebsk	WWDDD	1.80	0.60	50%	30%
Torpedo Zhodino	WLLLL	0.80	2.00	40%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	69%	1.35
ML Vitebsk Win	66%	1.39
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.43
BTTS No	55%	1.68
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals	49%	1.95
ML Vitebsk HT & FT	48%	1.97
2-0	16%	6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.