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2. Division - Group 1 · Norway
Mjondalen vs Pors Grenland prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mjondalen host Pors Grenland in the 2. Division - Group 1 (Norway) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mjondalen 1–0 Pors Grenland.
Going into the match, Mjondalen had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Pors Grenland had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mjondalen's last 10 and 6 of Pors Grenland's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mjondalen averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Pors Grenland averaged 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Mjondalen and 1.12 from Pors Grenland. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 66%, 19% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mjondalen (green) and Pors Grenland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjondalen | WWWWL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 40% | 70% |
| Pors Grenland | WLWDL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Pors Grenland 1–0 Mjondalen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Mjondalen Win | 65% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.77 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Mjondalen HT & FT | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.