Home › League stats › Allsvenskan › Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mjallby AIF host Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mjallby AIF 1–1 Degerfors IF.
Going into the match, Mjallby AIF had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 23. Degerfors IF had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mjallby AIF's last 10 and 3 of Degerfors IF's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mjallby AIF averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Degerfors IF averaged 1.21 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Mjallby AIF and 1.05 from Degerfors IF. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mjallby AIF (green) and Degerfors IF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | LLDDL | 0.70 | 2.30 | 40% | 50% |
| Degerfors IF | DLLWL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Degerfors IF 1–4 Mjallby AIF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Mjallby AIF Win | 49% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.