Home › League stats › J1 League › Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse
J1 League · Japan
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mito Hollyhock host Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League (Japan) on 11 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse.
Going into the match, Mito Hollyhock had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Shimizu S-pulse had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mito Hollyhock's last 10 and 5 of Shimizu S-pulse's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mito Hollyhock averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Shimizu S-pulse averaged 1.30 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Mito Hollyhock and 1.03 from Shimizu S-pulse. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 30%, against 36%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mito Hollyhock (green) and Shimizu S-pulse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | WLLDD | 1.70 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
| Shimizu S-pulse | DWWWL | 0.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.