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J-League Cup · Japan
Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mito Hollyhock host FC Tokyo in the J-League Cup (Japan) on 14 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.95, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mito Hollyhock 1–0 FC Tokyo.
Going into the match, Mito Hollyhock had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. FC Tokyo had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 1 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Mito Hollyhock's last 10 and 1 of FC Tokyo's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mito Hollyhock averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Tokyo averaged 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Mito Hollyhock and 1.80 from FC Tokyo. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 65%, against 25%, 25% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mito Hollyhock (green) and FC Tokyo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | LWLLD | 1.70 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| FC Tokyo | WWWWW | 2.60 | 0.10 | 10% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · FC Tokyo 5–2 Mito Hollyhock
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| FC Tokyo Win | 48% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.