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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Mirandes vs Zamora prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mirandes host Zamora in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mirandes 1–1 Zamora.
Going into the match, Mirandes had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Zamora had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Mirandes's last 10 and 4 of Zamora's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mirandes averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Zamora averaged 1.11 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Mirandes and 1.06 from Zamora. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 34%, against 46%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Mirandes Win | 45% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.