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Segunda División · Uruguay
Miramar vs Paysandu prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Miramar host Paysandu in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Miramar 1–0 Paysandu.
Going into the match, Miramar had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Paysandu had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Miramar's last 10 and 6 of Paysandu's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Miramar averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Paysandu averaged 1.33 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Miramar and 1.01 from Paysandu. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 36%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Miramar (green) and Paysandu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Paysandu 2–3 Miramar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Miramar Win | 36% | 2.45 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.